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Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis.

Identifieur interne : 000376 ( an2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000375; suivant : 000377

Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis.

Auteurs : Sheng Zhang [République populaire de Chine] ; Mengyuan Diao [République populaire de Chine] ; Wenbo Yu [République populaire de Chine] ; Lei Pei [République populaire de Chine] ; Zhaofen Lin [République populaire de Chine] ; Dechang Chen [République populaire de Chine]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:32097725

Abstract

Up to February 16, 2020, 355 cases have been confirmed as having COVID-19 infection on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. It is of crucial importance to estimate the reproductive number (R0) of the novel virus in the early stage of outbreak and make a prediction of daily new cases on the ship.

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.033
PubMed: 32097725


Affiliations:


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pubmed:32097725

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